{"id":89672,"date":"2025-03-27T15:49:20","date_gmt":"2025-03-27T15:49:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/?p=89672"},"modified":"2025-04-03T16:11:56","modified_gmt":"2025-04-03T15:11:56","slug":"reform-uk-gains-support-in-wales-whats-behind-the-rise-of-right-wing-populist-party","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/politics-social-justice\/reform-uk-gains-support-in-wales-whats-behind-the-rise-of-right-wing-populist-party","title":{"rendered":"Reform UK gains support in Wales: What&#8217;s behind populist party&#8217;s rise?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Welsh Senedd elections are just a year away. We dig into Nigel Farage led party&#8217;s campaign to see if it can win power in Wales.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Carmarthenshire.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-89693\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Carmarthenshire.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Carmarthenshire-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Carmarthenshire-770x433.jpg 770w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Carmarthenshire-293x165.jpg 293w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"562\" src=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Carmarthenshire.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-89693\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Carmarthenshire.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Carmarthenshire-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Carmarthenshire-770x433.jpg 770w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Carmarthenshire-293x165.jpg 293w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/noscript><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Llanelli has lost most of the major industries. Seats like these are key to Reform UK&#8217;s strategy for Senedd elections. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The WhatsApp group has become active, supporters are being emailed talking points, and party workers have been asked to gather for a meeting in a couple of weeks. A seat in the Welsh Senedd has never been this close to Gareth Beer and Reform UK\u2019s grasp.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In last year\u2019s general elections, Gareth came within a whisker of winning the Llanelli parliamentary constituency, a seat held by Labour for over a century. He lost to Nia Griffith by just over 1500 votes, marking a sharp increase in support from the Senedd elections of 2019 when his party barely managed to get two per cent of the support.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe are on a roll, and people are excited,\u201d says Gareth, who hopes to contest from Llanelli again as a Reform candidate. \u201cFive years ago, during the last Senedd elections, no one had heard of Reform. How times have changed.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Gareth says he is not taking any chances.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe have the momentum but there\u2019s plenty to do. One year is not a lot of time and it\u2019s when we go out that people realise what we are about,\u201d he says.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"995\" height=\"560\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Gareth-Beer-Llanelli-Kidwelly.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-89695\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Gareth-Beer-Llanelli-Kidwelly.jpg 995w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Gareth-Beer-Llanelli-Kidwelly-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Gareth-Beer-Llanelli-Kidwelly-770x433.jpg 770w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Gareth-Beer-Llanelli-Kidwelly-293x165.jpg 293w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 995px) 100vw, 995px\" \/><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"995\" height=\"560\" src=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Gareth-Beer-Llanelli-Kidwelly.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-89695\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Gareth-Beer-Llanelli-Kidwelly.jpg 995w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Gareth-Beer-Llanelli-Kidwelly-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Gareth-Beer-Llanelli-Kidwelly-770x433.jpg 770w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Gareth-Beer-Llanelli-Kidwelly-293x165.jpg 293w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 995px) 100vw, 995px\" \/><\/noscript><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Gareth Beer gave Welsh Labour a scare when he came close to winning Llanelli parliamentary seat. He lost by a little over 1500 votes. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Reform UK, the right-wing populist party led by Nigel Farage, has been surging in national opinion polls and believes it can win Welsh elections in May 2026. \u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wales voted for Brexit in 2016, and the support for Farage\u2019s party has since increased. It managed to get 17 per cent votes in last year\u2019s national elections, and a December 2024 poll said it was just one percentage point behind Welsh nationalists Plaid Cymru for Senedd elections. The poll said the right-wing party may win 23 per cent of votes, the same as Labour, which has been in power in the Welsh assembly since 1999.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Leaders of other Welsh parties have raised alarm over Reform\u2019s rise. Earlier this month, Plaid Cymru&#8217;s leader in Westminster, Liz Saville Roberts, warned that Reform UK could win the next Senedd election if her party does not take them seriously. Meanwhile, the former first minister of Wales, Carwyn Jones, warned that Labour must reclaim working people\u2019s support to counter Farage\u2019s message. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seats like Llanelli are a key to Reform\u2019s strategy. Once a part of the Welsh industrial heartland, the town is now a shadow of its glory days with barely any industries to sustain employment. A study by Carmarthenshire County Council, of which Llanelli is a part, found that over one-third of all households (28,730) in the area were living in relative poverty. The protests in October 2023 over the Home Office\u2019s decision to house around 240 asylum seekers in a local hotel added to Reform\u2019s support.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"2000\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Political-parties-in-Wales.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-89699\" style=\"width:497px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Political-parties-in-Wales.jpg 800w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Political-parties-in-Wales-120x300.jpg 120w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Political-parties-in-Wales-770x1925.jpg 770w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Political-parties-in-Wales-614x1536.jpg 614w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Political-parties-in-Wales-293x733.jpg 293w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"2000\" src=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Political-parties-in-Wales.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-89699\" style=\"width:497px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Political-parties-in-Wales.jpg 800w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Political-parties-in-Wales-120x300.jpg 120w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Political-parties-in-Wales-770x1925.jpg 770w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Political-parties-in-Wales-614x1536.jpg 614w, https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Political-parties-in-Wales-293x733.jpg 293w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/noscript><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p>Gareth believes immigration is a hot-button issue which is out of control, but he needs to address local issues of joblessness and housing to win.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIf you go 10-20 years back, immigration was under control. People would come and assimilate\u2026 We don\u2019t want any provocative language, but people should be able to talk. And then we can deal with the problems as they come, instead of letting it bottle up and causing mayhem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cLlanelli is a poor area which is getting even more poorer. It\u2019s economy, and it\u2019s housing. Today, you need to have a fortune to get on the housing ladder,\u201d he says.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mobile and internet connectivity is another issue. Gareth says it is hard to get even 3G internet in the centre of the town.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhere I am, you barely get 3G services. I was in a caf\u00e9 in city\u2019s centre for hours and couldn\u2019t get the internet to work. It took forever. Sometimes, you are talking to someone on the phone, and it just cuts off,\u201d he says.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For him, the solution to review the Welsh economy is to cut government waste and bring down taxes.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWe need to get the economy moving. The current labour government has put up taxes, our policy is to lower taxes,\u201d he said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welsh Senedd elections are just a year away. We dig into Nigel Farage led party&#8217;s campaign to see if it can win power in a Labour fortress. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1235,"featured_media":89693,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[388,1267,1376,438,1377,1378],"coauthors":[1300],"class_list":["post-89672","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics-social-justice","tag-plaid-cymru","tag-politics","tag-reform-uk","tag-senedd","tag-welsh-conservatives","tag-welsh-labour"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Reform UK gains support in Wales: What&#039;s behind populist party&#039;s rise? - InterCardiff<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Reform UK gains support in Wales: What&#039;s behind populist party&#039;s rise? - InterCardiff\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Welsh Senedd elections are just a year away. We dig into Nigel Farage led party&#039;s campaign to see if it can win power in a Labour fortress.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/politics-social-justice\/reform-uk-gains-support-in-wales-whats-behind-the-rise-of-right-wing-populist-party\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"InterCardiff\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-03-27T15:49:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-04-03T15:11:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/12\/2025\/03\/Edited-Reform-UK-Carmarthenshire.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1000\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"562\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Prashant Jha\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@https:\/\/x.com\/home\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Prashant Jha\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/politics-social-justice\/reform-uk-gains-support-in-wales-whats-behind-the-rise-of-right-wing-populist-party\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cardiffjournalism.co.uk\/intercardiff\/politics-social-justice\/reform-uk-gains-support-in-wales-whats-behind-the-rise-of-right-wing-populist-party\",\"name\":\"Reform UK gains support in Wales: What's behind populist party's rise? 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